25854

Автор(ы): 

Автор(ов): 

2

Параметры публикации

Тип публикации: 

Доклад

Название: 

An approach to analysis of expert estimation validity in cognitive mapping

Электронная публикация: 

Да

Наименование конференции: 

  • 7th IFAC Conference on Manufacturing Modelling, Management, and Control (MIM`2013, Saint Petersburg)

Наименование источника: 

  • Proceedings of the 7th IFAC Conference on Manufacturing Modelling, Management, and Control (MIM`2013, Saint Petersburg)

Обозначение и номер тома: 

ThC6-06

Город: 

  • Санкт-Петербург

Издательство: 

  • IFAC Publication

Год издания: 

2013

Страницы: 

927-932
Аннотация
Increasingly popular cognitive mapping of ill-structured socio-economic, manufacturing and other systems and situations carries risks for validity of end results. The problem of validity of expert estimates on prescribed normalized universal scales is raised. The main factor of risk is supposed to be the conceptual vagueness of expert knowledge on ill-structured systems and situations and knowledge of theoretical models for their cognitive mapping. An approach to analysis of expert estimation validity of variable values in cognitive mapping is proposed. In the approach the model of conceptual interpretation of a prescribed universal scale for an estimated variable is proposed. The model of conceptual interpretation enables to refine the influence of conceptual vagueness onto the expert estimation validity. Some results of empirical testing of the proposed approach operability in cognitive mapping are presented.

Библиографическая ссылка: 

Абрамова Н.А., Телицына Т.А. An approach to analysis of expert estimation validity in cognitive mapping / Proceedings of the 7th IFAC Conference on Manufacturing Modelling, Management, and Control (MIM`2013, Saint Petersburg). СПб.: IFAC Publication, 2013. ThC6-06. С. 927-932.